ARIZONA

Per best available data, Arizona has 60 contact tracers. With an average of 377 new daily cases, we estimate Arizona needs 3,770 contact tracing staff to trace all new cases in 48 hours, before too many other people are infected. This means that Arizona is likely able to trace only 2% of new COVID infections in 48 hours. These low levels of tracing suggest there is either an active outbreak underway in Arizona, or almost no tracing capacity exists. Strong caution is warranted.