Maria
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An error occurred while saving the comment Maria commentedI agree. If new daily (or weekly) case numbers include results from both PCR and serology antibody tests, there is NO information gained in terms of trend. Those showing positive for antibodies could have been infected months ago. There is also NO information gained about whether mitigation measures are having any effect. New positive antibody/serology test results tell us nothing about new infections.
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An error occurred while saving the comment Maria commentedI agree. I've posted similar comment re Cochise County. If, for example, positive cases are in the town/city where a person lives and shops rather than 2-3 hours or more away, a person might decide to go into town for groceries once every 2 weeks instead of a couple times a week. We all need to be careful not to spread or contract the virus, but the purpose of data should be to encourage and enable people to make better decisions. Knowing more precisely where positive cases are will help in that respect, but with such vast distances between population centers, disclosing positive cases by county is much less informative than giving case numbers by city/town/general proximity.
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An error occurred while saving the comment Maria commentedCloser identification of where positive cases are is especially important. For example in rural areas like Cochise County, it matters whether cases are in the closest town/city where a person lives and shops, or if they are in a town/city 2 - 3 hours away where a person rarely goes. Care is needed everywhere, but people should be informed so special care can be taken if COVID-19 cases exist or community spread is occurring or spiking in a person's immediate area.
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94 votes
An error occurred while saving the comment Maria commentedCloser identification of where positive cases are is especially important in rural areas like Cochise County... are cases in the closest town/city where a person lives and shops, or are they 2 - 3 hours away where a person rarely goes? Care is needed everywhere, but people should be informed so special care can be taken COVID-19 cases exist or community spread is occurring in a person's immediate area.
Maria supported this idea ·
Yes, combining PCR and serology/antibody test results makes for erroneous impressions and meaningless numbers. If new daily (or weekly) case numbers include results from both, there is no information gained in terms of trend since those showing positive for antibodies could have been infected months ago. There is also no information gained about whether mitigation measures are having any effect. New positive antibody/serology test results, even when accurate, tell us nothing about new infections and give the impression that cases are increasing when that may not be what's really happening.